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4% house edge by laying odds. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market. Democrat leaning Indies can choose the republican they are most sure their desired nominee will trounce in the general election and buoy him or her by voting for the other side in the primary, then casting a ballot for their favored party’s nominee in November....

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New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor. He was fifty-eight, and all his life he had been a gamester.You can’t, Bill, have it both ways....

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Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game. There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries. What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11....

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” Not only can a hedge betting system NOT beat a game like craps, but it also won’t even dent the house edge.This early in the game the sports betting sites will start to see new blood with day traders taking some of their Wall Street efforts to the books and Daily Fantasy Sports players trying something new with better hopes of winning than they may find against the DFS sharks.Are bookies better at predicting elections than the national polls? That question has yes and no answers, and to our knowledge has never been determined by a recognized and scientifically controlled study....

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The sword cuts both ways – if a Republican (registered as an Independent) thinks any eventual candidate would do better than Sanders or Clinton in November, they can vote for the weaker Democrat Tuesday. You cannot protect yourself “here” without being hurt “there.Sports betting sites will take your action (where it is legal to bet on such things) and the odds are all over the place in a way you would never see in such contests as the Super Bowl or a footie match with reams of stats and plenty of known commodities; in fact it’s a game where a dart throw to pick the winner could pay off handsomely....